politics

image merge of former presidents of United States of America and Nigeria, Donald Trump and Olusegun Obasanjo

What Really Matters to Obasanjo

I’m bereft that the irony of Obasanjo’s demand was lost on him. How the man whose government committed one of the worst electoral heists in Nigeria in 2007 has the audacity to demand stoppage of election results, mid-count, on the grounds of a suspicion, defies belief. But Obasanjo is apparently too fortified and absorbed in a public life of hypocrisy to care much about irony, that quality of existence without which tragedy becomes blatant

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logos of the election pollsters NOI, ANAP, Stears and Bloomberg

Nigeria’s election and the pollster’s albatross

In three of the six states where Stears said it obtained its booster samples — Lagos, Kwara, Rivers, Benue, Plateau and Kano, for example — only three Lagos, Plateau and Benue have a historically likely chance of fetching Obi more than 25 percent of the the votes cast. He will be lucky to get an average of 10 percent in the remaining three, where APC and PDP run a tight ship

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photo collage of president Goodluck Jonathan, president Muhammadu Buhari and the CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele

Looking back, facing forward as Nigeria decides

New problems have replaced old ones. The most debilitating being the calamitous absence of Buhari. Never a man to interfere with his subordinates once he has appointed them, in his last days in office, things have gotten worse. He is present only in name, going from delegation of authority to spectatorship and from spectatorship to surrender. Abdication next? The cat is away and the mice party was never so boisterous

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Collage of the faces of Nigeria's presidential candidates

Why We Love Expensive Rituals

Asking politicians to legislate campaign manifesto is like proposing to prosecute the goat for the yam kept in its care. It’s never going to work. The good news though, is that as a result of improved demand on service delivery by citizens and other stakeholders, governments in a few states are making conscious efforts to create self-tracking mechanisms, which include monitoring and evaluation units

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obasanjo in seperate photos with 3 presidential candidates; Tinubu, Obi and Atiku

The Trouble with Obasanjo’s Wish

“It’s a measure of the complexity of the animal called man, that PDP, the party where Obasanjo was alpha and omega for eight years, was – and apparently remains – unable to provide a pathway for Igbo presidency. APC, the Siamese of the PDP, has fared even worse. Ironically, it is the Labour Party, the child of political necessity whose roots and forebears Obasanjo sought to crush, that has produced the cornerstone of his newfound affection”

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photo collage of tinubu, atiku, buhari, wike, obi, kyari and emefiele with a transition of 2022 to 2023

What you might expect in 2023

“Perhaps the biggest electoral blow to the PDP in the South-South will come from Rivers State, the largest PDP vote bank in the region, second in the entire South to Oyo. I forecast, based on what I have heard, that whereas there are less than five billboards of any presidential candidate in main town Port Harcourt as of today, before the end of January, Wike, the most influential of the G-5 governors, will openly declare his support for Tinubu”

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